Report AB083 is a detailed 11-year world
acquisition spending analysis. The report cuts through Nano, Micro,
Mini and Close Range Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) categories, with
the intention of forecasting UAS that could readily contribute to
forward deployed situational awareness during the forecast period.
In compiling the research G2 Solutions downselected to 98 UAS from a
preliminary list of more than 950 acknowledged programs.
The downselect process took into account
variables such as: host government support, Unmanned Aerial Vehicle
(UAV) endurance, range and MTOW, domestic and international sales
potential, technological risk, payload modularity, system status,
confirmed and pending orders, system growth potential and finally
its ability to contribute to Platoon or Company level situational
The market remains in a fulfillment phase, with
programs such as RQ-11, RQ-14 and RQ-16 accounting for hundreds of
millions of acquisition revenues through 2019. With these three
programs, U.S. based AeroVironment (NASDAQ:AVAV) has a commanding
market presence, with close to 60 percent of installed-base
revenues. “Programs such as Raven, Wasp, Dragon Eye and Puma have
made AeroVironment the defacto incumbent on a wide range of U.S. DoD
battlefield UAS,” said Ron Stearns, Research Director for G2
Solutions. “The recompete cycles for these programs, in addition to
UAS requests that fell under Future Combat Systems will have a
profound effect on market share and deliveries through 2019.”
deliveries on programs of record will ebb after 2011, with the
exception of the Honeywell (NYSE:HON) RQ-16 MAV. This report
forecasts a new DoD acquisition cycle with deliveries commencing in
2017, assuming a continuing presence in Southwest Asia. Throughout
the forecast period, G2 Solutions expects more than 27,000 small,
tactical UAVs to enter service worldwide.
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